The Global Energy Problems Laboratory (GEPL)
was founded in 1988 as an independent non-governmental research
unit supported by Nuclear Safety Institute of Russian Academy
of Science (IBRAE
RAS) and Moscow Energy Institute of Ministry of Education
The laboratory is working in the field of
climate modeling concerning both anthropogenic (energy consumption,
industry, forestry, agriculture) and natural factors.
The scientific results of this work can be
applied to the climate reconstruction of the past and precise
long-term forecasts for every region of the Northern hemisphere.
Several projects were already successfully implemented on the
territory of Russia and showed encouraging agreement with the
observations of the past few years. More than 50 articles were
published in leading national and international scientific journals.
A number of scientific products, offered
for purchasing, is listed below.
1. The Expert System for climate forecasting.
The Expert System allows to determine the climate change on global
and regional scale according the different scenarios of
energy consumption, industry and land use development and corresponding
emissions of greenhouse gases. The system consists of five linked
main blocks: Energy, Global Carbon Cycle, Greenhouse Gases, Radiative
Forcing, Global Climate Model and Regional Climate. The new version
of Expert System for Windows requires at least 386 processor,
8 Mb RAM, 4 Mb on the hard disk.
2. The Numerical Data Packages (NDPs)
for the different periods up to the present (noted in brackets):
Greenhouse Gases Atmospheric Concentrations
(6 000 yrs): carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide;
Volcanic Activity Indices (7 000 yrs);
El-Nino - Southern Oscillation Indices
Energy Consumption - global and by countries
Land-use Change (100 yrs);
Temperature Anomalies for Northern Hemisphere
(12 900 yrs);
NDPs consists of text files with notes.
Energy consumption data since 1950 are formed in a Database in
Paradox 4.0 format.
3. Original Base Forecasts of the major
climatic parameters and factors on the period till 2100.
global, hemispherical and regional (for
Northern Hemisphere) mean annual temperatures;
global and regional power consumption;
emission and atmospheric concentration
change of the main greenhouse gases: carbon dioxide; methane;
nitrous oxide; CFCs and their substitutes; ozone; SOx and
solar and volcanic activity.
All the forecasts are verified by the instrumental
data of the last decade. Delivered as the text files with notes.
You can purchase this products and any